On Saturday, January 17 at 16:00, the Arena da Baixada hosts the crucial Atletiba clash between Athletico Paranaense (Furacão) and Coritiba (Coxa). The match decides three points that could shift the Paranaense 2026 standings, while also offering Furacão a chance to snap an eight‑game winless run against its biggest rival.
What’s at stake?
The encounter carries double importance. First, three points are on the line in the first‑phase table: Coritiba currently leads with two wins and a draw, while Athletico sits with one draw and two defeats. A Furacão victory would catapult them into the top spots, narrowing the gap to the leader and increasing pressure on Coxa.
Second, the psychological battle looms large. The eight‑match “drought”—three losses and four draws—has weighed on Athletico’s confidence. The coach has declared the goal clear: “End this cycle of frustration and restore pride to the supporters.”
Lineup changes and strategies
Athletico Paranaense
- Diego Martínez – newly signed Uruguayan midfielder, praised for rapid transitions and aggressive marking; expected to start alongside Renan Lodi, who returns from injury in good shape.
- Júnior Santos – the team’s leading scorer, will remain the focal point of the attack.
- Coach plans a high‑press system to disrupt Coxa’s build‑up while providing midfield support for Santos’s runs.
Coritiba
- Ronaldo “Nego” – veteran right‑back, reinstated as starter after a strong 2025 campaign.
- Lucas Farias – promoted youth striker noted for speed and finishing, added to boost the offense.
- Formation: 4‑2‑3‑1, using left winger Thiago Santos to stretch the defense, while volantes Gabriel and Jorge ensure defensive stability.
Referee and fan expectations
The match will be overseen by Anderson de Souza, who has a 78 % accuracy rate in recent Paranaense games. Athletico fans worry about potential controversial calls, recalling past disputes, whereas Coritiba supporters trust his impartiality based on his performance in high‑pressure fixtures.
Historical context and the “new phase” of the classic
Since 1914, the Atletiba has delivered iconic moments—from Athletico’s 5‑1 triumph in 1995 to Coxa’s dramatic 3‑2 comeback in 2008. Recent editions have become decisive for quarter‑final qualification, making the 2026 clash a potential gateway to a direct spot in the next stage.
National campaign implications
Both clubs have already secured places in the 2026 Série A. A win for Furacão could generate momentum heading into the Brasileirão, where they open against Grêmio at home. Conversely, a Coxa victory would reinforce their reputation as a “big‑game” team, attracting sponsorships and bolstering fan support for the national league.
Match outlook
The Baixada is expected to be packed with roughly 33,000 spectators, creating an electrifying atmosphere. Analysts predict a balanced encounter with goals likely in both halves. Athletico’s aggressive press and Júnior Santos’s attacking flair aim to break down Coxa’s disciplined defense, while Coxa will rely on home advantage, veteran leadership from Ronaldo “Nego,” and creative bursts from Thiago Santos.
In summary, Saturday’s Atletiba is more than a points battle; it’s a pivotal moment that could reshape confidence and ambitions for both Furacão and Coxa across state and national competitions.
